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for listing of publications in PubMed.
If you have difficulties downloading postscript files, please
follow this link for help.
Following are direct links to recent papers, and related sites, loosely
organized by topic.
Outline of a book in progress on statistical
tools for medical decision making
PAPERS RELATED TO DECISION PROBLEMS IN BREAST CANCER.
Decision Models in Screening for Breast Cancer ;
"Timing
Medical Exams via Intensity Functions";
"Modeling risk of breast cancer and decisions about
genetic testing" with Don Berry, Ed Iversen, Peter Mueller, Joellen Schildkraut and Eric Winer.
"Genetic Susceptibility and Survival: Application to Breast Cancer"
with Ed Iversen, Don Berry and Joellen Schildkraut.
"Missense Mutations in Disease Genes: A Bayesian Approach to Evaluate Causality"
with Gloria Petersen and Duncan Thomas.
PAPERS AND LINKS RELATED TO THE BRCA1&2 CARRIER PROBABILITY MODEL
BRCAPRO
PAPERS FROM THE DECISON MODELING GROUP OF THE DUKE STROKE PORT.
"Decision Models in Clinical Recommendations
Development: The Stroke Prevention Policy Model"
with Marek Ancukiewicz and David Matchar;
"Assessing Uncertainty
in Cost-Effectiveness Analyses: Application to a Complex Decision
Model" with Greg Samsa, Marek Ancukiewicz, Joe Lipscomb,
Vic Hasselblad and David Matchar;
"The Stroke Prevention Policy Model: Linking
Evidence and Clinical Decisions"
by David B. Matchar, MD; Gregory P. Samsa, PhD; J. Rosser Matthews, PhD; Marek
Ancukiewicz, PhD; Giovanni Parmigiani, PhD; Vic Hasselblad, PhD; Phillip A. Wolf,
MD; Ralph B. D'Agostino, PhD; and Joseph Lipscomb, PhD;
More links to papers about statistical methods
for medical decision making from other sites.
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MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND MODEL CRITIQUE
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"Protein
Construct Storage: Bayesian Variable Selection
and Prediction With Mixtures" with Merlise Clyde.
"Multiple Shrinkage and Subset Selection in Wavelets"
with Merlise Clyde and Brani Vidakovic.
"Orthogonalizations and Prior Distributions for Orthogonalized Model Mixing"
with Merlise Clyde.
"Prediction via Orthogonalized Model Mixing" with Merlise Clyde and
Heather DeSimone.
"Diagnostic Measures for Model Criticism"
with Cinzia Carota and Nick Polson.
The model-mixing tower of Stradella, Italy, combines a watchtower,
a belltower, a covered marketplace and a parish house.
Its Kullback-Leibler divergence from a randomly selected
building in Lombardy is the smallest I've ever seen.
To learn more about recent research on model uncertainty, follow this link to
recent workshops in this area, or this link to
Chris Volinski's
Bayesian Model Averaging Home Page
"Optimal Design
via Curve Fitting of Monte Carlo Experiments"
with Peter Mueller.
"Exploring Expected Utility Surfaces by Markov Chains"
with Merlise Clyde and Peter Mueller.
"Applications of
Lindley Information Measure to the Design of Clinical
Experiments" with Don Berry.
"Optimal Design for Heart Defibrillators"
with Merlise Clyde and Peter Mueller.
"Meta-analysis of Migraine Headache Treatments: Combining information
from heterogeneous designs",
with Francesca Dominici, Robert Wolpert and Vic Hasselblad;
"Retrospective Hierarchical Modeling of Multiple Case-control Studies"
with Peter Mueller Joellen Schildkraut and Luca Tardella.
"Bayesian Semi-parametric Analysis Of Developmental Toxicology Data"
with Francesca Dominici.
"Conjugate Analysis of Multivariate Normal Data With Incomplete
Observations"
with Francesca Dominici and Merlise Clyde.
"Combining Information from Related
Regressions"
with Francesca Dominici, Robert Wolpert and Ken Reckhow.
The data
used in this article are available.
"On Bayes Factors
for Nonparametric Alternatives" with Cinzia Carota.
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